Monday, June 15, 2009

Election Fraud and Clerical Recounts

This Friday the proudest of the Islamic nations held general elections to find out who would lead Iran. Its two candidates current prime minister and cleric Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and Independent Party opposition Mir Hossein Mousavi a former prime minister, architect and painter squared of in a what could have been a tightly contested election. Both parties obviously have opposing views and Iran's diverse factions supported the 2 different sides. The clerical and religous inhabitants of Iran had where leaning towards Ahmadinejad. Current prime minister Ahmadinejad has had an uphill battle trying to get support this election campign but found it hard to come by. Having fallen dismaly short of his promises made in earlier campigns he fell out with regular joes in Iran. His radical promise of attempting to destroy Isreal was mearly a tactic to help bolster his campign. Iran held televised debates throught the month where the variety of news coverage was tipping the curernt prime minister the victor in more then one. Yet Mousavi's fallowers (18-30 year old city residents and university students) felt Ahmadinejad had exerted his power to make questions irelevant and personal. So Mousavi fallowers felt cheated and the debates rigged. Little did they know what would ensue in the next few days. On Iran's election date Ahmadinejad won by what we call a "landslide". This sat nicely with nobody in the Mousavi camp and in Iran in general. Many outside observers of the elections as well as all of Mousavi's fallowers ardently took to the streets in protest. The past few days the climate has been very tense and today one protester was shot. Making things WAY worst. Mousavi has outright demanded a recount of the voting but statistic are preety clear. With the final counts looking as fallows Mahmoud Ahmadinejad 63% and Mir Hossein Mousavi came in at 33%. Cant argue with results. But how does an accfusation of fraud in such a clear landslide hold merit? There are clear statiscal anamolys that dont quite make sense. As well various leak from disgruntled and let down Ahmadinejad campign workers. Some of them went on record for newspapers such as Reuters, The New York Times and BBC Asia. Saying such statements as "the election had been planned like this for many weeks". The primer concern that should be noted along with the growing tensions is that Ahmadinejad himself is recounting the votes but under a panel that is mainly comprised of clerics and religous leaders. Many people feel IF there is fraud then it may not be exposed because of the clerics loyalty to Ahmadinejad and not Mousavi. In other words its not a fair recount.
So what is to be the fate of Iran?
Will the clerics seek the truth and count the ballots correctly (probably not).
Will Iran find new direction with Ahmadinejad second term? (highly unlikely)
Will Mir Hossein Mousavi seak further asisstance from the international community to help bring transpericy to what seems to be a very un clear election.
the answers will play out in the days to come.
and the outcome of these elections will leave a notable effect on Iran and its neighboring countrys.

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